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Action Insight Daily Report 9-17-09

Action Insight	Daily Technicals	Action Bias	Pivot Points	Heat Map	Top Movers
Free Downloads	Daily Fundamentals	Central Banks	Economic Calendar	Long Term	Articles

Action Insight Daily Report Dollar Weakness Continues, BoJ on Hold, SNB Next Dollar's fall continues today as trends in the overall financial markets extend. Following 1.12% rally in DOW, Asian stocks are broadly higher. Nikkei drew further support from medium term trend line and rebounds 1.68% today. Gold's rally is still in progress and reaches as high as 1025.8 so far while crude oil extends the rebound to 72.70. Dollar index is now pressing 76 level. Among the major currencies, Aussie, Canadian and Euro are the strongest against the greenback and the up trend in theses currencies are still in favor to continue in near term. On the other hand, Sterling remains generally the weakest major currency. Full Report Here... Special Reports BOE May Reduce Deposit Rate. How Does it Work and What are the Impacts? At the Treasury Select Committee hearing on September 15, the BOE Governor Mervyn King said the MPC is considering lowering the remuneration on banks' reserve. The issue was actually not new as King mentioned about it at the August Inflation report but the BOE did not announce any action at September's meeting. The Governor brought the issue out again may suggest something will be done in coming months and this triggered selloff in sterling. Cable plunged below the 1.65 support before finding support around 1.6425 while EURGBP broke above recent trading range in 0.884 and rose to 0.89. In this article, we will talk about how a change in remuneration rate works and its impact on QE. Full Report Here... FX Forecasts Update: USD, JPY, EUR, GBP, CHF Improved market sentiment and favors towards risky assets pressured the dollar over the past month. Although USD's decline against major currencies looked excessive, investors remained hesitant to remove the bearish view on USD. The general themes on the dollar remain to be interest rate differential, increasing appetite to higher-yield investments and reserve diversification. These topics will likely render the dollar chronically weak in the near-term. Full Report Here... Candlesticks & Ichimioku Analysis Trade Idea: USD/CHF - Sell At 1.0420, O.C.O Buy At 1.0230 As dollar has remained under pressure, suggesting recent decline is still in progress and fall to 1.0265/68 (1.236 times projection of 1.0885 to 1.0529 measuring from 1.0708), then towards 1.0230 (approx. 50% projection of 1.0700 to 1.0322 measuring from 1.0420) is under way, however, oversold condition would limit downside and reckon 1.0200 would limit downside and bring rebound later. Full Report Here... Trade Idea: GBP/USD - Sell At 1.6630 As the British pound has continued to edge higher, suggesting stronger rebound to 1.6613 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6742 to 1.6403) cannot be ruled out, however, price should falter well below resistance at 1.6661 and bring another decline later. Break of support at 1.6403 would bring a stronger correction of the rise from 1.6113 to 1.6353 (current level of the Ichimoku cloud bottom as well as 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6113 to 1.6742) but reckon support at 1.6322 would hold from here. Full Report Here... Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Sell At 91.60 Although dollar rebounded after falling to 90.12 yesterday and consolidation above this level would take place with mild upside bias for correction towards 91.65, however, 91.94-92.06 (previous support turned resistance and current level of the Ichimoku cloud bottom) should hold and bring another decline later. Below said support would extend fall to 90.00, however, loss of downward momentum would limit downside to 89.44-50 (approx. 1.236 times projection of 95.07 to 91.94 measuring from 93.31). Full Report Here... Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Hold Short Entered At 1.4750 Although the single currency has maintained a firm undertone and marginal gain from here is likely, overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 1.4790 (61.8% projection of 1.4191 to 1.4636 measuring from 1.4515) and bring a long overdue correction later. Below the Tenkan-Sen (now at 1.4704) would bring retracement towards the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.4641), however, support at 1.4561 should remain intact and bring another rally later. Full Report Here... Featured Technical Report Market Highlights AUD/USD Daily Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8655; (P) 0.8702; (R1) 0.8780; More AUD/USD's rally is still in progress and reaches as high as 0.8768 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside and further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 0.6284 to 0.8262 from 0.7702 at 0.8924 next. On the downside, though, below 0.8679 minor support will turn intraday outlook neutral and bring consolidation. But downside should be contained by 0.8543 support and bring rally resumption. Read more... All Technical Outlook Reports EURUSD Technical Outlook USDJPY Technical Outlook GBPUSD Technical Outlook USDCHF Technical Outlook USDCAD Technical Outlook AUDUSD Technical Outlook EURJPY Technical Outlook EURGBP Technical Outlook EURCHF Technical Outlook GBPJPY Technical Outlook Daily Top Movers Top 5 Current Last Change (Pips) Change (%) CADJPY 85.58 85.26 +32 +0.37% USDCAD 1.0623 1.0661 -38 -0.36% GBPJPY 150.35 149.92 +43 +0.29% GBPUSD 1.6530 1.6487 +43 +0.26% EURJPY 134.06 133.76 +30 +0.22% Last Updated: Sep 17, 07:30 GMT Currency Heat Map Daily View USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD USD EUR JPY GBP Last Updated: Sep 17, 07:30 GMT Economic Indicators Update GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised 23:50 JPY BSI Manufacturing index Q/Q Q3 15.5 -11.4 -13.2 23:50 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Jul 0.60% 0.60% 0.10% 0.20% 3:30 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 8:30 GBP Retail Sales M/M Aug 0.10% 0.40% 8:30 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Aug 2.70% 3.30% 9:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Jul 1.2B 1.0B 10:00 GBP U.K. CBI Industrial Orders Sep -49 -54 11:00 CAD CPI M/M Aug 0.20% -0.30% 11:00 CAD CPI Y/Y Aug -0.60% -0.90% 11:00 CAD BoC CPI Core M/M Aug 0.10% 0.00% 11:00 CAD BoC CPI Core Y/Y Aug 1.60% 1.80% 12:00 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% 12:30 CAD Leading Indicators M/M Aug -- 0.40% 12:30 USD Housing Starts Aug 595K 581K 12:30 USD Building Permits Aug 580K 560K 12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (SEP 12) 558K 550K 14:00 USD Philadelphia Fed. Survey Sep 7.8 4.2 Suggested Readings Fundamental Highlights Equity Markets Shows Continued Signs Of Strength Risk Appetite Still On The Menu After Hitting A Few Speed Bumps Yesterday First BOJ Policy Meeting With DPJ In Power Markets Calm Before The Storm Dollar Index Approaching Critical Support Technical Highlights Forex Technical Analytics Foreign Exchange Market Commentary Forex Technical Update The Daily Forecaster: AUDUSD USD/CHF Trending Lower

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Join FXOpen's MT4 ECN Revolution!

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FXOpen invites you to join the Metatrader ECN revolution. The days when brokers traded against you are over! For the first time in the Forex market FXOpen allows you to trade ECN using the preferred Metatrader software   ECN trading gives you direct access to the Forex market (interbank market) Direct and uninterrupted access to the market The best and fairest trading conditions. Trade with other traders Each order actually displayed in the market All orders are seen by other traders Real time matching of trades by other traders ECN trading gives you direct access to the Forex market (interbank market) where you can trade with other traders and your orders are actually displayed in the market and are seen by others, who in turn can introduce their own orders and if the prices match, a deal is complete. Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you can lose more than your initial deposit. See Risk Warning.

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Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-16-09

Action Insight	Daily Technicals	Action Bias	Pivot Points	Heat Map	Top Movers
Free Downloads	Daily Fundamentals	Central Banks	Economic Calendar	Long Term	Articles

Action Insight Mid-Day Report Dollar Soft after Making New Low Dollar remains pressured after making new low against Euro, Yen and Aussie today. Economic data released from US provide little support to the greenback. Dollar index continue to hover around today's low of 76.20. Stocks open high on further rebound in commodities which saw the CRB index pressing 259 level. Gold remains firm after climbing to as high as 1023.3 earlier today. The Japanese yen also strengthened broadly after Hiroshia Fuji, the next finance chief in Japan, said today that he didn't support a "weaker yen". Full Report Here... Special Reports BOE May Reduce Deposit Rate. How Does it Work and What are the Impacts? At the Treasury Select Committee hearing on September 15, the BOE Governor Mervyn King said the MPC is considering lowering the remuneration on banks' reserve. The issue was actually not new as King mentioned about it at the August Inflation report but the BOE did not announce any action at September's meeting. The Governor brought the issue out again may suggest something will be done in coming months and this triggered selloff in sterling. Cable plunged below the 1.65 support before finding support around 1.6425 while EURGBP broke above recent trading range in 0.884 and rose to 0.89. In this article, we will talk about how a change in remuneration rate works and its impact on QE. Full Report Here... FX Forecasts Update: USD, JPY, EUR, GBP, CHF Improved market sentiment and favors towards risky assets pressured the dollar over the past month. Although USD's decline against major currencies looked excessive, investors remained hesitant to remove the bearish view on USD. The general themes on the dollar remain to be interest rate differential, increasing appetite to higher-yield investments and reserve diversification. These topics will likely render the dollar chronically weak in the near-term. Full Report Here... Elliott Wave Analysis EUR/CHF Elliott Wave Analysis Despite falling to 1.5111 earlier, as long as indicated support at 1.5006 holds, further consolidation would take place and mild upside bias remains for another rebound for gain to 1.5300, however, break of 1.5383 resistance is needed to signal the wave iii has commenced for retest of 1.5448 probably in Q4. Full Report Here... USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis Despite recovering to 1.0927, as the greenback has fallen again, suggesting a retest of recent low at 1.0632 is under way, break there would extend the final leg of wave c of larger degree wave A to 1.0590 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9059-1.3066) and possibly towards 1.0531 (61.8% projection of the beginning of wave i to iii measuring from wave iv). However, as this is the final wave v of c leg as well as the entire wave B from 1.3066, downside should be limited to support at 1.0310/15. Full Report Here... Candlesticks & Ichimioku Analysis EURGBP Candlesticks and Ichimoku Analysis As the single currency has continued to move higher and is approaching indicated upside target at the Kijun-Sen and Ichimoku cloud top (now at 0.8914-17), a weekly close above 0.9000 would signal the correction from 0.9805 has ended at 0.8400 and gain to 0.9103 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9805 to 0.8400) would follow but reckon 0.9268 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) would hold on first testing. Full Report Here... AUDUSD Candlesticks and Ichimoku Analysis The Australian dollar has maintained a firm undertone after early resumption of upmove from 0.6007 and further gain to indicated upside target at 0.8708 (50% projection of 0.6248 to 0.8265 measuring from 0.7700) is under way, above there would extend towards 0.8947 (61.8% projection), however, reckon psychological resistance at 0.9000 would limit upside and risk from there has increased for a correction in early Q4. Full Report Here... Featured Technical Report Market Highlights USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 90.67; (P) 91.15; (R1) 91.53; More.. USD/JPY fell to as low as 90.12 today before recovering mildly. The break of 90.20 suggests that recent decline from 97.77 has resumed and should now target lower channel support at 89.74 next. On the upside, above 91.62 will indicate that consolidation from 90.20 is still in progress. But after all recovery should be limited by 91.94/93.29 resistance zone. However, note that decisive break of 93.29 resistance will argue that whole fall from 97.77 has completed and will turn focus back to upper channel resistance (now at 96.58). Read more... All Technical Outlook Reports EURUSD Technical Outlook USDJPY Technical Outlook GBPUSD Technical Outlook USDCHF Technical Outlook USDCAD Technical Outlook AUDUSD Technical Outlook EURJPY Technical Outlook EURGBP Technical Outlook EURCHF Technical Outlook GBPJPY Technical Outlook Daily Top Movers Top 5 Current Last Change (Pips) Change (%) GBPAUD 1.8903 1.9091 -188 -0.99% NZDUSD 0.7109 0.7047 +62 +0.87% AUDUSD 0.8704 0.8633 +71 +0.82% EURAUD 1.6840 1.6975 -135 -0.80% GBPJPY 149.09 150.11 -102 -0.68% Last Updated: Sep 16, 13:50 GMT Currency Heat Map Daily View USD EUR JPY GBP CHF CAD AUD USD EUR JPY GBP Last Updated: Sep 16, 13:50 GMT Economic Indicators Update GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised 01:00 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Jul 1.10% -- 0.70% 0.90% 07:15 CHF Retail Sales (Real) Y/Y Jul 1.00% 1.00% 0.90% 08:30 GBP Claimant Count Change Aug 24.4K 24.7K 24.9K 25.2K 08:30 GBP Claimant Count Rate Aug 5.00% 5.00% 4.90% 08:30 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Jul 7.90% 8.00% 7.80% 09:00 CHF ZEW Expectations Sep 58 -- 18.6 09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Aug 0.30% 0.30% -0.70% 09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Aug -0.20% -0.20% -0.20% 09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Aug 1.30% 1.20% 1.30% 12:30 CAD Manufacturing Shipments M/M Jul 5.50% 2.40% 1.90% 12:30 USD CPI M/M Aug 0.40% 0.30% 0.00% 12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Aug -1.50% -1.70% -2.10% 12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Aug 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Aug 1.40% 1.40% 1.50% 12:30 USD Current Account Balance Q2 -98.8B -$92.0B -$101.5B 13:00 USD Net Long-term TIC Flows Jul 15.3B 65.3B 90.7B 13:15 USD Industrial Production Aug 0.80% 0.70% 0.50% 13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Aug 69.60% 69.10% 68.50% 14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.6M -5.9M 17:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Sep 19 18 Suggested Readings Fundamental Highlights Ode to the Outlaw Goldbug USD at New Lows for 2009 versus EUR, JPY Near 90 Swiss Franc Vulnerable Resilient Dollar Seen In European Trade Technical Highlights FX Thoughts for the Day EURUSD: Hitting Further Higher Prices With Attention On The 1.4719 Level AUDUSD: More Strength Highlights The 0.8810 Level

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